Weather Services International: Cold Period Expected in UK and Western Europe

Cold Anticipated to be Less Extreme than Past Two Winters

Andover, MA, October 24, 2011 — WSI (Weather Services International) expects temperatures for the upcoming period (November-January) to average lower than normal across the UK and western mainland with above-normal temperatures common across the eastern mainland, Southeast Europe and most of the Nordic region.

There are numerous indications that the cold will not be as extreme as it was during the last two winters,” said WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford. “The current state of the Northern Hemispheric oceans is almost identical to that observed in October 2008, which was only a moderately cold winter. Further, we have finally emerged from the unusually long lull in solar activity that likely contributed to the extreme nature of recent winters. Lastly, the multi-year tendency towards North Atlantic atmospheric blocking has already waned a bit in 2011, relative to the previous three years. This indicates that the atmosphere is likely regressing back to the mean a bit from the recent and persistent anomalous state. So, while we do expect another cold winter across UK and Western Europe, we think that the winter will be much closer to 2008-09 than 2010-11. Further, we think that the worst of the cold across Western Europe will be in December and January, and that the back-half of winter could be significantly milder.”

In November, WSI sees the monthly breakdown as:

Nordic Region* – Warmer than normal
UK * – Colder than normal
Northern Mainland* – Warmer than normal, except western France
Southern Mainland *– Warmer than normal

In December, WSI forecasts:

Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Colder than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal east, colder than normal west
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal east, colder than normal west

In January, WSI forecasts:

Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Colder than normal
Northern Mainland – Colder than normal
Southern Mainland – Colder than normal, except southeastern Europe and southern Iberia

WSI, providing customized weather information to energy traders, will issue its next seasonal outlook on 21 November.

*To view the map defining WSI’s European regions, click here.

About Weather Services International
Weather Services International is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is a member of The Weather Channel Companies and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts with offices in Birmingham, England. The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital.

Linda Maynard
Weather Services International

Editorial Contact:
Barbara Rudolph
Rudolph Communications, LLC