Relatively Quiet Season Still Expected as Cooler Atlantic Temperatures Persist and El Nino Continues to Develop
ANDOVER, Mass. (April 22, 2014) — Weather Services International (WSI) has issued an update to the tropical forecast for the 2014 season, and continues to expect a total of 11 named storms, five hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. This represents no change from the first forecast issued in late March. These numbers are lower than both the 1950-2013 normals of 12/7/3 and the more recent “active period” (1995-2013) normals of 15/8/4.
According to WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford:
“The latest data still suggests that a relatively quiet season is in store for the Atlantic basin. Tropical Atlantic surface temperatures are the coolest they’ve been for this time of year since 1994, and we are increasingly confident that a significant El Nino event is on the way, which typically results in an environment that is not favorable for Atlantic tropical development. The various dynamical and statistical models that we use are in unusual agreement, predicting between 9-11 named storms, between 4-6 hurricanes, and between 0-2 major hurricanes this year. Our forecast is in the upper end of those ranges, but we have chosen not to decrease our numbers quite yet pending further information in May.”
WSI provides customized weather information to global commodity traders via its industry-leading WSI Trader Web site. This is the last tropical update of the season. WSI will issue its next update on tropical season on May 20.
About WSI Corporation
WSI (Weather Services International) and Weather Central are the world's leading providers of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation, insurance and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. Together they comprise the professional division of The Weather Company and are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms, The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital.