El Nino and Cooler Atlantic Waters Still Expected to Suppress Activity
ANDOVER, Mass. (June 24, 2014) — Weather Services International (WSI) has issued its monthly update to the tropical forecast for the 2014 season, and continues to expect a total of 11 named storms, five hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. This represents no change from the previous three forecasts issued in March, April, and May. These numbers are lower than both the 1950-2013 normals of 12/7/3 and the more recent “active period” (1995-2013) normals of 15/8/4.
According to WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford:
“It’s ‘steady as she goes’ with regards to expectations for the 2014 tropical season. We are already off to a relatively slow start, as it is quite likely that this year will be the first since 2009 to go into July without yet having a named storm. Tropical Atlantic surface temperatures also remain relatively cool relative to recent years. Finally, the first El Nino event in five years is progressing on schedule. The various dynamical and statistical models that we use remain in unusual agreement, predicting between 9-12 named storms, between 4-7 hurricanes, and between 2-3 major hurricanes this year. The lack of any significant changes during the last month dictate that we leave our forecast of 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes as is.”
WSI provides customized weather information to global commodity traders via its industry-leading WSI Trader Web site. This is the last tropical update of the season. WSI will issue its next update on tropical season on July 22.
About WSI Corporation
WSI is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the aviation, energy and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is the Professional Division of The Weather Company and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts with offices in Madison, Wisconsin and Birmingham, England. The Weather Company is owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital. More information about WSI can be found at www.wsi.com.