WSI: Mild October Followed by Colder Conditions across Mainland and the UK by November

Mainland Europe to Remain Drier-than-Normal through Late Autumn with Wetter Conditions Returning by Early Winter

Andover, MA, 25 September 2013 — WSI (Weather Services International) expects below-normal temperatures for the upcoming period (October-December) to be confined to parts of the central and eastern mainland, with above-normal temperatures elsewhere, especially parts of far eastern Europe and western Russia.

According to WSI Meteorologist Dr. Claire Kennedy: “We expect the warm pattern to continue into October across much of Europe, especially in the Northeast. High pressure, which dominated western Europe during much of the summer, is expected to again move in from the Atlantic in October with below-average precipitation across much of northern and central Europe and above-average temperatures across northeastern Europe and northwestern Russia. A transition to below-normal temperatures is forecast for the core of Europe including the UK in November, combined with below-normal precipitation amounts. An early look at indicators for the upcoming winter show conflicting signals at this stage with some key drivers still to emerge in October. The latest climate and statistical models agree in a mild start to winter with a return to above normal temperatures again across much of Europe in December. It currently appears as though there are significant risks of colder late winter temperatures, although confidence is still low at this early date. Specific details on the winter forecast will be provided at the WSI Winter Symposium in London on 9 October.”

In October, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except Iberia

In November, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal, except southern tip of Sweden
UK – Colder than normal
Northern Mainland – Colder than normal
Southern Mainland – Colder than normal, except Iberia and southern Italy

In December, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Colder than normal, except extreme southern Sweden/Norway
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal

WSI provides customized weather information to global commodity traders via its industry-leading WSI Trader Web site. WSI will issue its next seasonal outlook on 23 October.

About WSI Corporation
WSI (Weather Services International) and Weather Central are the world's leading providers of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation, insurance and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. Together, they comprise the professional division of The Weather Company and are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms, The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital. 

Linda Maynard
Weather Services International