Various Forecast Models in Good Agreement
ANDOVER, Mass. (July 23, 2014) — Weather Services International (WSI) has issued its monthly update to the tropical forecast for the 2014 season, and continues to expect a total of 11 named storms, five hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. This represents no change from the previous four forecasts issued from March-June. These numbers are lower than both the 1950-2013 normals of 12/7/3 and the more recent “active period” (1995-2013) normals of 15/8/4.
According to WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford:
“The statistical and dynamical models that we employ to make seasonal tropical forecasts have been in unusually good agreement with very few month-on-month changes since our original forecast was issued in March. Tropical Atlantic surface temperatures are as cool as they have been since 1994, and the progression towards El Nino conditions is continuing, although with fits and starts. The various dynamical and statistical models that we use all predict between 9-12 named storms, between 4-7 hurricanes, and between 2-3 major hurricanes this year. The continuing lack of any significant changes in the automated model guidance suggest that the prudent course for now would be to leave our forecast of 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes as is for another month.”
WSI provides customized weather information to global commodity traders via its industry-leading WSI Trader Web site. This is the last tropical update of the season. WSI will issue its next update on tropical season on August 26.
About WSI Corporation
WSI is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the aviation, energy and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is the Professional Division of The Weather Company and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts with offices in Madison, Wisconsin and Birmingham, England. The Weather Company is owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital.