Historic Pattern Likely to Relent Through Mid-Winter, Followed by an Additional Big Chill in Late Winter and Early Spring
Andover, MA, December 20, 2010 — WSI (Weather Services International) expects temperatures for the approaching period (January-March) to average higher than normal across most of eastern Europe, with lower-than-normal temperatures in the UK and the Nordic regions.
“The recent extreme behavior of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), along with the fact that current and recent atmospheric/oceanic patterns have closely resembled those from the 1950s-1970s period, has reinforced our hypothesis that there may have been a fundamental climate shift in 2008 that will result in weather patterns more similar to those found 40-60 years ago,” said WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford. “This hypothesis is bearing fruit so far this winter, with an unusually cold December across much of Europe, more typical of La Nina events in the 1950s.”
“The recent extremely cold pattern across Europe should moderate a bit as we head deeper into winter, with more variable temperature patterns becoming commonplace” Dr. Crawford added. “The bulk of the cold should lift to the west and north, and we still expect UK and the Nordic Region to have slightly below-normal temperatures in January. However, by February we expect more widespread above-normal temperatures across Europe, before the NAO rears its ugly head again during March with a much colder pattern returning.”
In January, WSI predicts regional temperature anomalies as follows:
Nordic Region * – Colder than normal
UK* – Colder than normal
Northern Mainland* – Warmer than normal
Southern Mainland * – Warmer than normal
In February, WSI sees the monthly breakdown as:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except Iberia
In March, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Colder than normal
UK – Colder than normal
Northern Mainland – Colder than normal
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except France/Iberia
WSI, providing customized weather information to energy traders, will issue its next seasonal outlook for the January-March period on 20 December.
*To view the map defining WSI’s European regions, click here.
About Weather Services International
Weather Services International is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is a member of The Weather Channel Companies and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts with offices in Birmingham, England. The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital. More information about WSI can be found at www.wsi.com.
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