Weather Services International: Mild European Autumn Expected

Ocean Temperature Patterns Suggest a Relatively Calm Period

Andover, MA, August 20, 2012 — WSI (Weather Services International) expects temperatures for the upcoming period (September-November) to average higher than normal across most regions, with the exception of parts of the southern mainland.

“As we head toward autumn, both the climate models and historical analogs are suggesting a relatively mild spell across much of Europe,” said Dr. Todd Crawford, WSI Chief Meteorologist. “The combination of the emerging El Nino event and the cold North Pacific Ocean typically result in a lack of North Atlantic blocking and above-normal temperatures, especially across northern sections. Our early look at winter suggests that the best chances for below-normal temperatures will be in northeastern Europe and western Russia, while above-normal temperatures are favored across the Southeast. The fate of the western European winter is still unclear, as the primary drivers of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) have yet to show their cards.”

In September, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region* – Warmer than normal
UK* – Slightly warmer than normal
Northern Mainland* – Slightly warmer than normal
Southern Mainland* – Warmer than normal

In October, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except far eastern sections
Southern Mainland – Cooler than normal, except western sections & Iberia

In November, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal
Southern Mainland – Cooler than normal

WSI, providing customized weather information to energy traders, will issue its next seasonal outlook, including the late autumn and early winter forecast, on 24 September.

*To view the map defining WSI’s European regions, click here.

About Weather Services International
Weather Services International is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is a member of The Weather Channel Companies and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts, with offices in Birmingham, England. The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital.

Linda Maynard
Weather Services International

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