Weather Services International: Warmth Focused in Western and Northern Europe This Summer

Emerging El Nino, Lack of Atmospheric Blocking and Cooler North Atlantic Should Result in Much Different Pattern Relative to 2008-11 Summers

Andover, MA, April 23, 2012 — WSI (Weather Services International) expects temperatures for the upcoming period (May-July) to average higher than normal across all of Europe, with the exception of parts of the Southeast.

“While April has been a relatively cool month across much of Europe, we expect more widespread, above-normal temperatures to develop in May, especially across eastern and northern sections,” said WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford. “As we head into the summer period, we expect a distinctly different pattern than what we’ve observed over the last four years, when very warm summer temperatures were focused over southern/eastern sections of Europe with near-normal temperatures in Western Europe. The combination of an emerging El Nino event, an expected lack of North Atlantic blocking and relatively cool North Atlantic ocean temperatures should result in a reversal of recent summer patterns. Specifically, the combination of these factors should result in greater chances for summer heat in western and northern sections, rather than southern and eastern sections. Further, relative to recent years, we expect a drier summer in the UK and Nordic regions and wetter weather suppressed farther to the south. Finally, our forecast also supports less wind across Germany/Denmark and more wind in Spain than we’ve had the last four summers.”

In May, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region* – Warmer than normal
UK* – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland* – Warmer than normal
Southern Mainland* – Warmer than normal

In June, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except Southeast

In July, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except parts of Northeast
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except parts of Southeast

WSI, providing customized weather information to energy traders, will issue its next seasonal outlook, including the final official summer forecast, on 21 May.

*To view the map defining WSI’s European regions, click here.

About Weather Services International
Weather Services International is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is a member of The Weather Channel Companies and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts with offices in Birmingham, England. The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital.

Linda Maynard
Weather Services International

Editorial Contact:
Barbara Rudolph
Rudolph Communications, LLC