Weather Authority Raises Intense Storm Count and Foresees Storm Tracks to be Greater Threat to US for Remainder of Season
Andover, MA, September 22, 2010 — In its final tropical update for 2010, WSI (Weather Services International) now predicts 18 named storms, 10 hurricanes and 6 intense hurricanes (category 3 or greater). The 2010 forecast numbers are well above the long-term (1950-2009) averages of 10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes and also above the averages from the more active recent 15-year period (1995-2009) of 14/8/4.
“Relative to our August forecast (18/10/5), we have increased the expected number of intense hurricanes by one, specifically due to the somewhat surprising attainment of major hurricane status by Julia and Karl last week,” said Dr. Todd Crawford, WSI Chief Meteorologist.
“After a relatively slow start, the tropical season has gone “supernova” during the past few weeks, with five major hurricanes occurring within the last three weeks, a historically unprecedented event. Although the primary storm track has been for storms to approach the eastern US seaboard before recurving out to sea, there are indications that this pattern is changing and that the danger to the US coastline may be increasing going forward.”
Crawford also indicated that the Northeast US would continue to be under an enhanced threat as it has been for much of the season. “While there haven’t yet been any direct hurricane hits to the US, the pattern of recurving storms responding to the negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation has matched our expectations for the season.”
Energy traders, insurance professionals and risk managers look to WSI for accurate, timely weather information around the clock and across the globe. The next seasonal forecast update, which will include forecasts for late fall and early winter temperatures, will be issued on October 26. The first forecast for the 2011 tropical season will be released on December 22.
WSI (Weather Services International) is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, insurance, aviation and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is a member of The Weather Channel Companies and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts with offices in Birmingham, England. The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital.
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